Constituency

West Dorset

Party
Liberal Democrat
Region
South West
Official portrait of Edward Morello
MP

Edward Morello

MP's page on parliament.uk

Photo: © House of Commons/Roger Harris (CC BY 3.0), cropped

The cost of Brexit · UK-wide

Brexit's estimated hit to UK economic output (GVA) in 2023

−£188.8bn

−7.7% of output

That's about £2,835 for every person in the UK, compared with an estimate of where the economy would have been without Brexit.

Source: Brexit Cost Project (Alabrese, Edenhofer, Fetzer and Wang, 2026), real terms at 2019 prices

What rejoining could mean · UK-wide

Long-term boost to the UK economy (GDP) from EU membership

+£92bn

at least

Plus at least £43bn a year more in UK exports.

Source: Frontier Economics for Best for Britain

What rejoining could mean here

Estimated boost to the South West's economy (GVA) each year from EU membership

+£639m

a year

Brexit has cost the Dorset council area an estimated £441m a year since 2016.

Among the top quarter of council areas for estimated losses
How is this worked out?

Gross value added (GVA) is the value of the goods and services produced in an area.

Researchers at the Brexit Cost Project compared each council area's actual output with an estimate of what it would have been without Brexit. They built that estimate from a weighted mix of economies elsewhere, in Europe, the US and other advanced economies, whose output tracked the area's closely before the 2016 referendum.

The difference between the two is the estimated effect of Brexit. It's a modelled estimate, not a measured loss, and the researchers say it should be read as evidence of how places diverged after 2016 rather than as precise accounting.

The figure shown is the average gap for each year from 2016 to 2023, the latest year of official local output data. It's in real terms, at 2019 prices, and is the headline estimate on this council area's page at brexitcost.org. The council area may be larger or smaller than the constituency.

Source: Frontier Economics; council figure from the Brexit Cost Project

What voters think in West Dorset

Which EU relationship people in West Dorset most want the UK Government to propose

When they had to choose one

  1. EU membership35.7%, average across GB constituencies 34.3%
  2. Single market6.8%, average across GB constituencies 6.6%
  3. Customs union6.1%, average across GB constituencies 5.3%
  4. UK Government position21.8%, average across GB constituencies 17.4%
  5. Status quo8.4%, average across GB constituencies 8.2%
  6. Loosen ties9.8%, average across GB constituencies 9.7%
  7. Don't know11.3%, average across GB constituencies 18.4%
About this survey

YouGov surveyed 11,927 people. The survey was carried out between 27th May – 11th June 2026.

The survey was conducted using an online interview of members of the YouGov Plc GB panel of 400,000+ individuals who have agreed to take part in surveys.

Voices from West Dorset

  • In an increasingly dangerous world Britain needs to belong to a trading and diplomatic block. Brexiteers' hopes that the USA would support an isolated Britain have been demolished. Young people in Britain need to be able to study in Europe, to understand Europe and eventually to be free to work there. Economically Brexit has been a disaster and many smaller companies have struggled to export to the EU. With increasing protectionism this situation can only get worse. We need to be within a trading block to shake off the challenges of Chinese imports. Traditionally Britain has always been isolated. Being a member of the EU made us more international in outlook - in terms of trade, culture, education and even holidays. So being a member of the EU is much more than just for financial benefit. When were in the EU we were bad members - no EU flags flew on government offices or town halls, substantial grants from the EU were not recognized, there was no EU information in schools or universities. We were lukewarm members. I hope that if and when we return we become more enthusiastic about the principles and concept of a united Europe,

    J. H.

    9 November 2026

  • I realise I am very lucky. I retired from work and was able to move to live in France full time in 2015. The Brexit referendum result was a disaster, immediately making our status as residents in France uncertain into the future, our freedom to live in the EU suddenly removed. Fortunately the French authorities made the process, once it was organised, relatively easy. HOWEVER, the worry now is the distinct possibility of Marine Le Pen becoming President, with her party's hostility to migrants, making it difficult or impossible to renew our existing right to reside (titre de séjour). This is a situation that thousands of British citizens in France are also in. I will add that I receive a UK government pension on which I am obliged to pay UK income tax. There are many, many economic reasons why the UK would benefit from rejoining the EU. I write to emphasise the possibility of my established way of life, commenced before the UK left the EU, being upturned by a change in French policy towards migrants. Rejoining the EU would alleviate this fear.

    A. W. S.

    8 November 2026

Which sectors could benefit most from EU membership?

West Dorset has:

3,359

people employed in manufacturing, mining and utilities

GB average: 4,334 per constituency

5,549

people employed in retail and wholesale

GB average: 6,882 per constituency

2,544

people employed in accommodation and food services

GB average: 2,447 per constituency

Health

as its biggest employing industry

These figures count people who live in the constituency and work in each industry (Census 2021; in Scotland, Scotland's Census 2022).

Why these jobs matter for our relationship with Europe

These three industries employ people in every constituency, and each depends on how easily goods, services and people move between the UK and Europe.

Manufacturing: Frontier Economics found that 81% of the £43 billion a year growth in exports from EU membership would come from manufacturing.

Retail: Rejoining the EU would remove the customs checks and paperwork that have added red tape and costs for shops and their suppliers since Brexit, making it cheaper and simpler to stock goods from Europe.

Food services: Pubs, restaurants and hotels have struggled to fill vacancies since free movement ended. EU membership would let them recruit seasonal workers from across Europe again and help bring down costs for hospitality businesses across the country.

Sources and methodology

Contains OS data © Crown copyright and database right 2026. Contains Royal Mail data © Royal Mail copyright and database right 2026. Contains NRS data © Crown copyright and database right 2026. Source: Office for National Statistics licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0.