St Albans
- Party
- Liberal Democrat
- Region
- East of England
The cost of Brexit · UK-wide
Brexit's estimated hit to UK economic output (GVA) in 2023
−£188.8bn
−7.7% of output
That's about £2,835 for every person in the UK, compared with an estimate of where the economy would have been without Brexit.
Source: Brexit Cost Project (Alabrese, Edenhofer, Fetzer and Wang, 2026), real terms at 2019 prices
What rejoining could mean · UK-wide
Long-term boost to the UK economy (GDP) from EU membership
+£92bn
at least
Plus at least £43bn a year more in UK exports.
What rejoining could mean here
Estimated boost to the East of England's economy (GVA) each year from EU membership
+£712m
a year
Brexit has cost the St Albans council area an estimated £426m a year since 2016.
Among the top quarter of council areas for estimated lossesHow is this worked out?
Gross value added (GVA) is the value of the goods and services produced in an area.
Researchers at the Brexit Cost Project compared each council area's actual output with an estimate of what it would have been without Brexit. They built that estimate from a weighted mix of economies elsewhere, in Europe, the US and other advanced economies, whose output tracked the area's closely before the 2016 referendum.
The difference between the two is the estimated effect of Brexit. It's a modelled estimate, not a measured loss, and the researchers say it should be read as evidence of how places diverged after 2016 rather than as precise accounting.
The figure shown is the average gap for each year from 2016 to 2023, the latest year of official local output data. It's in real terms, at 2019 prices, and is the headline estimate on this council area's page at brexitcost.org. The council area may be larger or smaller than the constituency.
Source: Frontier Economics; council figure from the Brexit Cost Project
What voters think in St Albans
Which EU relationship people in St Albans most want the UK Government to propose
When they had to choose one
Support for EU membership here: Joint 63rd highest of 631 constituencies
About this survey
YouGov surveyed 11,927 people. The survey was carried out between 27th May – 11th June 2026.
The survey was conducted using an online interview of members of the YouGov Plc GB panel of 400,000+ individuals who have agreed to take part in surveys.
Voices from St Albans
We need to remind ourselves as a nation and as a continent about the importance of community and sharing what amazing things we have. That includes being part of things bigger than just us, and giving us the opportunity to once again be part of the EU and all the great (and not so great) things that come with it. Freedom to travel, work, bring our beloved pets and settle in places is such an amazing privilege and one that we rely on l with people settling here. There are of course many economic factors as to why being a part of the EU is better than not, but I think the social and cultural value is enormous. Having been 1 year too young to vote to remain in the EU but having been one of the hardest hit generations (typically) I envy the previous generations that have had the opportunities from being a part of the EU, only to pull the ladder up from behind them. We should rejoin. It was ridiculous to leave. We are worse off.
Local resident
9 November 2026
I made a career as an engineer living and working in several different EU countries and I married someone from outside the UK. I think that we should rejoin the EU so that the next generation also has the chance to live and work in 28+ countries. Our club football teams would be much worse if they could only use players born in the local town, county or the country. It is the same in business. If we want to do better, we need to be able to recruit from a wider pool of labour and then sell to a wider group of customers. The EU is a massive trade block and Australia and NZ will never be able to replace Germany, France and the other EU states because they are much closer.
D. V.
9 November 2026
Ahead of the UK-EU summit on 20th November we absolutely need to keep pushing for the UK to rejoin the EU. I voted Remain, as did nearly two-thirds of St Albans. Ten years on, Brexit has delivered none of what was promised. It was sold on claims that never stood up, and we are poorer and more isolated for it. The cost is plain. Our shops pay more to stock European goods. Our pubs and restaurants, the heart of the city's visitor economy, struggle to find staff. Small firms, which St Albans has in abundance, carry the heaviest load of paperwork. For me, it's personal. My god-children live in Portugal, where I plan to retire. I want to visit them, or stay for months, without counting days and filling in forms. Every time I queue for 45 minutes in "other passports" while EU citizens pass through the e-gates in two minutes, I feel angry at what we gave away. Free movement meant European students here, exchanges for young people and musicians touring freely. With two (or more) more years of Trump and the Republicans ahead, we need closer ties with our European allies more than ever.
Paula Valentine
9 November 2026
Leaving the EU has been utterly devastating for the UK. I was both a child and an adult while the UK was a member of the EU. I have experienced the ease of freedom of movement that EU membership brought. I attended university in Europe on the Erasmus programme, and that experience later led me to apply for a job in Europe. It was as easy as getting on and off a plane. No visa, no work permit, no residency application - just starting an exciting life and job in a new country. While I lived there, I met someone special (who had also moved there from another EU country). We later married and settled back in the UK. Without EU membership, I would not have met my husband and I would not have lived the life I have for the past 26 years. My life was enriched because of freedom of movement, and I want the future generations to have that same opportunity open to them. We are stronger together, and better equipped to make positive changes for all EU members. We cannot work together if we walk away.
J. K.
8 November 2026
Which sectors could benefit most from EU membership?
St Albans has:
people employed in manufacturing, mining and utilities
people employed in retail and wholesale
people employed in accommodation and food services
as its biggest employing industry
Why these jobs matter for our relationship with Europe
These three industries employ people in every constituency, and each depends on how easily goods, services and people move between the UK and Europe.
Manufacturing: Frontier Economics found that 81% of the £43 billion a year growth in exports from EU membership would come from manufacturing.
Retail: Rejoining the EU would remove the customs checks and paperwork that have added red tape and costs for shops and their suppliers since Brexit, making it cheaper and simpler to stock goods from Europe.
Food services: Pubs, restaurants and hotels have struggled to fill vacancies since free movement ended. EU membership would let them recruit seasonal workers from across Europe again and help bring down costs for hospitality businesses across the country.
Sources and methodology
- GVA gap caused by Brexit: Brexit Cost Project
- People employed by industry and biggest employing industry: Census 2021, Office for National Statistics
- People employed by industry in Scotland: Scotland's Census 2022, National Records of Scotland
- Support for full EU membership: YouGov for Best for Britain
- Regional GVA boost: Frontier Economics for Best for Britain
- Postcode lookup: postcodes.io, using ONS data
- MP details and photos: UK Parliament Members API
Contains OS data © Crown copyright and database right 2026. Contains Royal Mail data © Royal Mail copyright and database right 2026. Contains NRS data © Crown copyright and database right 2026. Source: Office for National Statistics licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0.