Constituency

South Devon

Party
Liberal Democrat
Region
South West
Official portrait of Caroline Voaden
MP

Caroline Voaden

MP's page on parliament.uk

Photo: © House of Commons (CC BY 3.0), cropped

The cost of Brexit · UK-wide

Brexit's estimated hit to UK economic output (GVA) in 2023

−£188.8bn

−7.7% of output

That's about £2,835 for every person in the UK, compared with an estimate of where the economy would have been without Brexit.

Source: Brexit Cost Project (Alabrese, Edenhofer, Fetzer and Wang, 2026), real terms at 2019 prices

What rejoining could mean · UK-wide

Long-term boost to the UK economy (GDP) from EU membership

+£92bn

at least

Plus at least £43bn a year more in UK exports.

Source: Frontier Economics for Best for Britain

What rejoining could mean here

Estimated boost to the South West's economy (GVA) each year from EU membership

+£639m

a year

Brexit has cost the South Hams council area an estimated £172m a year since 2016.

How is this worked out?

Gross value added (GVA) is the value of the goods and services produced in an area.

Researchers at the Brexit Cost Project compared each council area's actual output with an estimate of what it would have been without Brexit. They built that estimate from a weighted mix of economies elsewhere, in Europe, the US and other advanced economies, whose output tracked the area's closely before the 2016 referendum.

The difference between the two is the estimated effect of Brexit. It's a modelled estimate, not a measured loss, and the researchers say it should be read as evidence of how places diverged after 2016 rather than as precise accounting.

The figure shown is the average gap for each year from 2016 to 2023, the latest year of official local output data. It's in real terms, at 2019 prices, and is the headline estimate on this council area's page at brexitcost.org. The council area may be larger or smaller than the constituency.

Source: Frontier Economics; council figure from the Brexit Cost Project

What voters think in South Devon

Which EU relationship people in South Devon most want the UK Government to propose

When they had to choose one

  1. EU membership33.2%, average across GB constituencies 34.3%
  2. Single market6.6%, average across GB constituencies 6.6%
  3. Customs union5.3%, average across GB constituencies 5.3%
  4. UK Government position20.7%, average across GB constituencies 17.4%
  5. Status quo9.2%, average across GB constituencies 8.2%
  6. Loosen ties11.3%, average across GB constituencies 9.7%
  7. Don't know13.7%, average across GB constituencies 18.4%
About this survey

YouGov surveyed 11,927 people. The survey was carried out between 27th May – 11th June 2026.

The survey was conducted using an online interview of members of the YouGov Plc GB panel of 400,000+ individuals who have agreed to take part in surveys.

Voices from South Devon

  • I'm one of the 3 million Europeans living in the UK. Brexit was a heartbreak for me! Apart from all the lies and the financial disadvantages, i mourn the loss of freedom of movement for UK citizens, particularly the young. We have lost access to groundbreaking scientific collaborations, as well as more stringent environmental protections. Women's rights have suffered, and we've lost the possibility of holding our government to levelling up to European standards for pensions health care and many other areas. In a time when we need to find strength and allies to face uncertain political situations, we have shut the door in the face of our nearest neighbours. Now we have a chance to undo the damage and we should grab it with both hands!

    Ruth Rozelaar

    9 November 2026

  • Leaving the EU was a colossal error and unprecedented self inflicted economic damage. The leave campaign lied repeatedly and despite a minister for Brexit being appointed, there was a deafening silence on the benefits of leaving. There were none! Far from solving immigration, Brexit exacerbated the problem. We need international collaboration to solve large problems and a reformed EU would be a very good beginning. Reform is best achieved from the inside. We should support the current government in it’s policy of moving closer to Europe and encourage them to seek to rejoin as full members.

    Professor David J Harwood

    9 November 2026

  • I have always thought staying in the EU was the most intelligent choice. Why it even became a question had nothing to do with benefitting anyone except a few politicians. Our economy has suffered. Our health has suffered. Education has suffered. Personally, I resent travel being made more difficult both for myself and for my adult students from the EU who come for short seminars in the UK. Immigration is not in any way better because of Brexit! In all ways, Brexit failed and was doomed to fail from its inception. I think it should be obvious to all that we return to the EU, just as it should have been obvious that we not consider engaging in Brexit.

    Cherionna Menzam

    9 November 2026

  • The UK should rejoin the EU because our standard of living has worsened since Brexit. While every country experienced Covid the UK has been at a particular disadvantage due to lost trade deals and missed opportunities to benefit from shared business ties with the EU. Young people have lost the option of living and working in European countries which has meant that they are tied to the UK with less job opportunities, high rents and a cost of living crisis which leaves no chance of saving enough money to change their situation.

    D. W.

    9 November 2026

  • I think that not many people knew of the true facts and decisions that were made from politicians who gained to benefit. Why are the ‘bus claims’ NHS etc not being investigated? I want to trust our political system but I struggle!

    Tessa Smalley

    8 November 2026

  • Apart from the financial problems it has caused everyone and the feeling of division from our nearest neighbours when we lived through Covid which are both very valid reasons to rejoin, leaving the EU has caused many more problems than it has solved socially. For residents of UK losing freedom of movement within Europe has been a massive negative step all round. I have never had any concerns about European citizens coming to work in the UK. I feel we are in a much worse situation now with many people coming here illegally from areas of the world who do not share our cultural beliefs and who actually are not prepared to embrace our way of life or tolerate our views respectfully and without agenda. I am a great believer of when in Rome do as Romans do and I do try to follow this rule when I travel. I certainly would not go to live elsewhere if I could not live and accept their traditions and rules. I think specially for the young they are currently so limited with ability to explore or work in Europe in a relaxed manner for a year or so. Such a shame

    Local resident

    8 November 2026

Which sectors could benefit most from EU membership?

South Devon has:

2,524

people employed in manufacturing, mining and utilities

GB average: 4,334 per constituency

5,881

people employed in retail and wholesale

GB average: 6,882 per constituency

2,946

people employed in accommodation and food services

GB average: 2,447 per constituency

In the top quarter of constituencies
Health

as its biggest employing industry

These figures count people who live in the constituency and work in each industry (Census 2021; in Scotland, Scotland's Census 2022).

Why these jobs matter for our relationship with Europe

These three industries employ people in every constituency, and each depends on how easily goods, services and people move between the UK and Europe.

Manufacturing: Frontier Economics found that 81% of the £43 billion a year growth in exports from EU membership would come from manufacturing.

Retail: Rejoining the EU would remove the customs checks and paperwork that have added red tape and costs for shops and their suppliers since Brexit, making it cheaper and simpler to stock goods from Europe.

Food services: Pubs, restaurants and hotels have struggled to fill vacancies since free movement ended. EU membership would let them recruit seasonal workers from across Europe again and help bring down costs for hospitality businesses across the country.

Sources and methodology

Contains OS data © Crown copyright and database right 2026. Contains Royal Mail data © Royal Mail copyright and database right 2026. Contains NRS data © Crown copyright and database right 2026. Source: Office for National Statistics licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0.