Constituency

South Antrim

Party
UUP
Nation
Northern Ireland

Under the Windsor Framework, Northern Ireland still follows EU rules for goods, so its businesses can sell goods into the EU single market without customs checks. Rejoining the EU would give Northern Ireland a say in making those rules.

Official portrait of Robin Swann
MP

Robin Swann

MP's page on parliament.uk

Photo: © House of Commons (CC BY 3.0), cropped

The cost of Brexit · UK-wide

Brexit's estimated hit to UK economic output (GVA) in 2023

−£188.8bn

−7.7% of output

That's about £2,835 for every person in the UK, compared with an estimate of where the economy would have been without Brexit.

Source: Brexit Cost Project (Alabrese, Edenhofer, Fetzer and Wang, 2026), real terms at 2019 prices

What rejoining could mean · UK-wide

Long-term boost to the UK economy (GDP) from EU membership

+£92bn

at least

Plus at least £43bn a year more in UK exports.

Source: Frontier Economics for Best for Britain

What rejoining could mean here

Estimated boost to the Northern Ireland economy (GVA) each year from EU membership

+£158m

a year

Source: Frontier Economics

YouGov's polling only covers England, Scotland and Wales.

Which sectors could benefit most from EU membership?

South Antrim has:

5,072

people employed in manufacturing, mining and utilities

GB average: 4,334 per constituency

8,353

people employed in retail and wholesale

GB average: 6,882 per constituency

1,967

people employed in accommodation and food services

GB average: 2,447 per constituency

Health

as its biggest employing industry

These figures count people who live in the constituency and work in each industry (Census 2021, Northern Ireland Statistics and Research Agency).

Why these jobs matter for our relationship with Europe

These three industries employ people in every constituency, and each depends on how easily goods, services and people move between the UK and Europe.

Manufacturing: Frontier Economics found that 81% of the £43 billion a year growth in exports from EU membership would come from manufacturing.

Retail: Rejoining the EU would remove the customs checks and paperwork that have added red tape and costs for shops and their suppliers since Brexit, making it cheaper and simpler to stock goods from Europe.

Food services: Pubs, restaurants and hotels have struggled to fill vacancies since free movement ended. EU membership would let them recruit seasonal workers from across Europe again and help bring down costs for hospitality businesses across the country.

Sources and methodology

Contains OS data © Crown copyright and database right 2026. Contains Royal Mail data © Royal Mail copyright and database right 2026. Contains NRS data © Crown copyright and database right 2026. Source: Office for National Statistics licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0.