Newcastle upon Tyne North
- Party
- Labour
- Region
- North East
The cost of Brexit · UK-wide
Brexit's estimated hit to UK economic output (GVA) in 2023
−£188.8bn
−7.7% of output
That's about £2,835 for every person in the UK, compared with an estimate of where the economy would have been without Brexit.
Source: Brexit Cost Project (Alabrese, Edenhofer, Fetzer and Wang, 2026), real terms at 2019 prices
What rejoining could mean · UK-wide
Long-term boost to the UK economy (GDP) from EU membership
+£92bn
at least
Plus at least £43bn a year more in UK exports.
What rejoining could mean here
Estimated boost to the North East's economy (GVA) each year from EU membership
+£216m
a year
Brexit has cost the Newcastle upon Tyne council area an estimated £258m a year since 2016.
How is this worked out?
Gross value added (GVA) is the value of the goods and services produced in an area.
Researchers at the Brexit Cost Project compared each council area's actual output with an estimate of what it would have been without Brexit. They built that estimate from a weighted mix of economies elsewhere, in Europe, the US and other advanced economies, whose output tracked the area's closely before the 2016 referendum.
The difference between the two is the estimated effect of Brexit. It's a modelled estimate, not a measured loss, and the researchers say it should be read as evidence of how places diverged after 2016 rather than as precise accounting.
The figure shown is the average gap for each year from 2016 to 2023, the latest year of official local output data. It's in real terms, at 2019 prices, and is the headline estimate on this council area's page at brexitcost.org. The council area may be larger or smaller than the constituency.
Source: Frontier Economics; council figure from the Brexit Cost Project
What voters think in Newcastle upon Tyne North
Which EU relationship people in Newcastle upon Tyne North most want the UK Government to propose
When they had to choose one
Support for EU membership here: In the top quarter of constituencies
About this survey
YouGov surveyed 11,927 people. The survey was carried out between 27th May – 11th June 2026.
The survey was conducted using an online interview of members of the YouGov Plc GB panel of 400,000+ individuals who have agreed to take part in surveys.
Voices from Newcastle upon Tyne North
The worst thing about Brexit from my perspective is the way it has emboldened racists. Consider that in our city of Newcastle upon Tyne the Leader of the Council has recently received threats because of his Irish accent and ask yourself could this have happened without the Brexit vote being construed as a green light to English nationalism? Many of my former NHS colleagues, who came from abroad and gave years of service to mental health in the region, now feel unable to walk outside the Laing Gallery on a Saturday morning because they fear abuse from anti-migrant protesters who regularly gather there. White-British colleagues with mixed race children also have to avoid that area. I am married to an EU national, and while the inconvenience of having to re-register her settled status every 5 years when she gets a new passport is relatively minor, the fact that my bilingual children no longer have the opportunity to live and work in their mother's homeland is not. Of course, everyone who supported Brexit wasn't a racist, but rejoining the EU would be justified not only on economic and diplomatic grounds, but also as a blow in the fight against racism.
A. C.
9 November 2026
Brexit has been the most divisive thing that has ever happened in my lifetime and it has changed this country for the worse. It has brought ugly fascism back to the surface; it has changed and divided people. It has led to countless relationships and family ties being destroyed. It has tipped £1 trillion down the drain that could have been our future. It has never been the fault of immigrants and asylum seekers that lazy right wing politicians like to scapegoat minorities because it makes it easier for them to fleece the country and do as little work as possible. There has been no accountability for those who caused all of this. Most of them still live in extreme privilege, whereas I have felt more isolated and hopeless about the future since the day we woke up to the gut wrenching news. I was always a remainer. I like the EU. I like the sense of belonging and I like having those deeper roots, connection and respect for learning from the horrors of the past. I want it back.
S. M.
8 November 2026
Which sectors could benefit most from EU membership?
Newcastle upon Tyne North has:
people employed in manufacturing, mining and utilities
people employed in retail and wholesale
people employed in accommodation and food services
as its biggest employing industry
Why these jobs matter for our relationship with Europe
These three industries employ people in every constituency, and each depends on how easily goods, services and people move between the UK and Europe.
Manufacturing: Frontier Economics found that 81% of the £43 billion a year growth in exports from EU membership would come from manufacturing.
Retail: Rejoining the EU would remove the customs checks and paperwork that have added red tape and costs for shops and their suppliers since Brexit, making it cheaper and simpler to stock goods from Europe.
Food services: Pubs, restaurants and hotels have struggled to fill vacancies since free movement ended. EU membership would let them recruit seasonal workers from across Europe again and help bring down costs for hospitality businesses across the country.
Sources and methodology
- GVA gap caused by Brexit: Brexit Cost Project
- People employed by industry and biggest employing industry: Census 2021, Office for National Statistics
- People employed by industry in Scotland: Scotland's Census 2022, National Records of Scotland
- Support for full EU membership: YouGov for Best for Britain
- Regional GVA boost: Frontier Economics for Best for Britain
- Postcode lookup: postcodes.io, using ONS data
- MP details and photos: UK Parliament Members API
Contains OS data © Crown copyright and database right 2026. Contains Royal Mail data © Royal Mail copyright and database right 2026. Contains NRS data © Crown copyright and database right 2026. Source: Office for National Statistics licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0.