New Forest West
- Party
- Conservative
- Region
- South East
Desmond Swayne
MP's page on parliament.ukPhoto: © House of Commons/Roger Harris (CC BY 3.0), cropped
The cost of Brexit · UK-wide
Brexit's estimated hit to UK economic output (GVA) in 2023
−£188.8bn
−7.7% of output
That's about £2,835 for every person in the UK, compared with an estimate of where the economy would have been without Brexit.
Source: Brexit Cost Project (Alabrese, Edenhofer, Fetzer and Wang, 2026), real terms at 2019 prices
What rejoining could mean · UK-wide
Long-term boost to the UK economy (GDP) from EU membership
+£92bn
at least
Plus at least £43bn a year more in UK exports.
What rejoining could mean here
Estimated boost to the South East's economy (GVA) each year from EU membership
+£1.31bn
a year
Source: Frontier Economics
What voters think in New Forest West
Which EU relationship people in New Forest West most want the UK Government to propose
When they had to choose one
About this survey
YouGov surveyed 11,927 people. The survey was carried out between 27th May – 11th June 2026.
The survey was conducted using an online interview of members of the YouGov Plc GB panel of 400,000+ individuals who have agreed to take part in surveys.
Voices from New Forest West
Brexit has been a disaster for the British economy and for supply chains. It has caused shortages of everything from salads to spare parts to medicines. It has increased inflation. It has had and continues to have a particularly negative effect on young people’s freedom to access education and work in the EU. In a time where the world is becoming increasingly unstable and dangerous, and our erstwhile ally, the USA, has become completely unreliable, it makes good sense to be more closely aligned with our European neighbours. The behaviour of the USA and its president are in fact putting Europeans including ourselves at great risk, a risk the Americans do not share geographically. To combat that risk we need to work ever more closely with our closest neighbours to benefit all our countries and all our citizens and build a brighter future for our children and grandchildren.
I. R.
9 November 2026
My reasons for wanting the UK to rejoin the EU are many and varied. They encompass all the logical, evidence based financial advantages that come from free trade with our nearest neighbours, together with the personal advantages for me that comes with free movement - wanting to spend my retirement travelling around Europe in my campervan with my dog. But it goes much, much deeper than that. My father, a WW2 veteran, explained the concept of the EU (then Common Market) to me as a child. He said countries that are joined together with laws and trade etc are very much less likely to go to war with each other. This was because even if their values might differ sometimes from the majority, it was still better to be a part of it, particularly economically. Like the best teams and groups, the whole is greater than the sum of its parts and peace should always be the top non negotiable that all parties agree on.
M. W.
9 November 2026
United we stand, divided we fall applies to countries too. We need close allies to be able to stand up for ourselves in trade, one small nation just doesn't have the barganing power on its own. We would also have stronger defenses against hostile agents whether nations, superpowers or malevolent small groups - hackers etc.
H. C.
9 November 2026
Where to begin is the difficulty,; we need to get rid of the “red tape” (customs checks ETC.) totally hindering manufacturing in the UK. It is so important for our younger generation to be part of the wider, bigger community (EU). Free movement for jobs and seasonable employment in the UK is needed. Personally I want easier access at the border to the Schengen and EU.
B. J.
8 November 2026
Which sectors could benefit most from EU membership?
New Forest West has:
people employed in manufacturing, mining and utilities
people employed in retail and wholesale
people employed in accommodation and food services
as its biggest employing industry
Why these jobs matter for our relationship with Europe
These three industries employ people in every constituency, and each depends on how easily goods, services and people move between the UK and Europe.
Manufacturing: Frontier Economics found that 81% of the £43 billion a year growth in exports from EU membership would come from manufacturing.
Retail: Rejoining the EU would remove the customs checks and paperwork that have added red tape and costs for shops and their suppliers since Brexit, making it cheaper and simpler to stock goods from Europe.
Food services: Pubs, restaurants and hotels have struggled to fill vacancies since free movement ended. EU membership would let them recruit seasonal workers from across Europe again and help bring down costs for hospitality businesses across the country.
Sources and methodology
- GVA gap caused by Brexit: Brexit Cost Project
- People employed by industry and biggest employing industry: Census 2021, Office for National Statistics
- People employed by industry in Scotland: Scotland's Census 2022, National Records of Scotland
- Support for full EU membership: YouGov for Best for Britain
- Regional GVA boost: Frontier Economics for Best for Britain
- Postcode lookup: postcodes.io, using ONS data
- MP details and photos: UK Parliament Members API
Contains OS data © Crown copyright and database right 2026. Contains Royal Mail data © Royal Mail copyright and database right 2026. Contains NRS data © Crown copyright and database right 2026. Source: Office for National Statistics licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0.