Constituency

Hertford and Stortford

Party
Labour
Region
East of England
Official portrait of Josh Dean
MP

Josh Dean

MP's page on parliament.uk

Photo: © House of Commons/Roger Harris (CC BY 3.0), cropped

The cost of Brexit · UK-wide

Brexit's estimated hit to UK economic output (GVA) in 2023

−£188.8bn

−7.7% of output

That's about £2,835 for every person in the UK, compared with an estimate of where the economy would have been without Brexit.

Source: Brexit Cost Project (Alabrese, Edenhofer, Fetzer and Wang, 2026), real terms at 2019 prices

What rejoining could mean · UK-wide

Long-term boost to the UK economy (GDP) from EU membership

+£92bn

at least

Plus at least £43bn a year more in UK exports.

Source: Frontier Economics for Best for Britain

What rejoining could mean here

Estimated boost to the East of England's economy (GVA) each year from EU membership

+£712m

a year

Source: Frontier Economics

What voters think in Hertford and Stortford

Which EU relationship people in Hertford and Stortford most want the UK Government to propose

When they had to choose one

  1. EU membership34.8%, average across GB constituencies 34.3%
  2. Single market7.0%, average across GB constituencies 6.6%
  3. Customs union5.7%, average across GB constituencies 5.3%
  4. UK Government position19.1%, average across GB constituencies 17.4%
  5. Status quo7.4%, average across GB constituencies 8.2%
  6. Loosen ties9.0%, average across GB constituencies 9.7%
  7. Don't know17.0%, average across GB constituencies 18.4%
About this survey

YouGov surveyed 11,927 people. The survey was carried out between 27th May – 11th June 2026.

The survey was conducted using an online interview of members of the YouGov Plc GB panel of 400,000+ individuals who have agreed to take part in surveys.

Voices from Hertford and Stortford

  • UK belongs in the heart of EU. Together we are stronger and safer. Our economy and standard of life has suffered since Brexit. Please work for us to make sure that UK re-joins the EU.

    Merita Oakes

    9 November 2026

  • As a British citizen currently residing in Spain I feel the loss of membership in the Single Market & Customs Union. My relationship with my family and friends is made more difficult and restricted following Brexit.

    M. P.

    9 November 2026

  • I believe rejoining the EU will be good for the future of our children and grandchildren, both in terms of opportunities and security, we can’t rely on the USA any longer

    Bradley Chy

    8 November 2026

  • The world is a better place working in collaberation. People are happier connecting with others even across borders. Europe was living example of this. Economically, politically, culturally. UK leaving was a disaster - evidenced clearly now to all. UK fed a comfort diet of nostalgic propoganda when vulnerable to our 'plucky little englander' mentality. (Austerity, covid, financial crash and invigorated Right wing mobilisation) We have to be part of a positive new European project now. The world has changed and European project has to be rebuilt with UK as part of it. Must not be seen as going back - ie rejoin but a re imagination - core principles central but for future very uncertain world. Exciting - not sclerotic. That's a challenge for Europe as well as UK.

    R. M. D.

    8 November 2026

Which sectors could benefit most from EU membership?

Hertford and Stortford has:

4,408

people employed in manufacturing, mining and utilities

GB average: 4,334 per constituency

7,100

people employed in retail and wholesale

GB average: 6,882 per constituency

2,146

people employed in accommodation and food services

GB average: 2,447 per constituency

Retail

as its biggest employing industry

These figures count people who live in the constituency and work in each industry (Census 2021; in Scotland, Scotland's Census 2022).

Why these jobs matter for our relationship with Europe

These three industries employ people in every constituency, and each depends on how easily goods, services and people move between the UK and Europe.

Manufacturing: Frontier Economics found that 81% of the £43 billion a year growth in exports from EU membership would come from manufacturing.

Retail: Rejoining the EU would remove the customs checks and paperwork that have added red tape and costs for shops and their suppliers since Brexit, making it cheaper and simpler to stock goods from Europe.

Food services: Pubs, restaurants and hotels have struggled to fill vacancies since free movement ended. EU membership would let them recruit seasonal workers from across Europe again and help bring down costs for hospitality businesses across the country.

Sources and methodology

Contains OS data © Crown copyright and database right 2026. Contains Royal Mail data © Royal Mail copyright and database right 2026. Contains NRS data © Crown copyright and database right 2026. Source: Office for National Statistics licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0.